OPINIONS / COLUMNS  (August 25– August 31, 2008)

 

Serious Business

Jay S. Ramos

Marshalling our mishandled economy

 

Aside from the recent fuel and food critical moments, talks among people about the budget shortfall have been put behind the furnace (at least for the meantime).  However, the real factor gripping our financial affairs, and very much well known to LGUs having unnecessary huge loans, is the ever growing budget deficit.

A current economic investigation reinforces my range of vision, concluding that the government may just push with rapidity to avert a severe economic crisis due to the worsening budget shortfall. In addition to that, about 80 percent of the national budget went to debt service, the salaries of government workers, and the funding sent to the LGUs.

According to what seems true, the shortfall has had a harmful effect on the implementation of other much needed programs as job creation, health care, upgrading educational services and standards, low cost housing, infrastructures and other significant lifeline boosters.  As the issue poses exposure to risk to our economy is due to the ever increasing budget shortfall.

Having recognized the differences that when we are experiencing fiscal gap, our lavish government has to find other sources to fund its projects and programs. Promptly and without hesitation the only option is but to borrow, thus the sum of several amounts added to debt of the national government including local and foreign posted at P1.2 trillion in 1995, then it rise to a greater degree to P3.4 trillion by 2003. As of today, your guess is as good as mine—so terrible our economy has been mishandled. Consequently, the total debt has risen to a frightening 68.7 percent of gross national product.  However, if there are no reforms in place to augment revenue, for sure the government would be in a difficult situation as what is happening now.

Naturally, this is the impetus under the government’s tax collection reforms as in the implementation of the E-VAT.  In the locality, the real property zonal evaluation has been drastically enlarged with the corresponding bullying local collections of real property related taxes.  In whatever way, such reforms have been causing injury to local businesses and likewise recent investors. In fact, the enhancement in the zonal valuation has led to unrealistic property valuations in Laoag City alone (not only in the main part of the city but also in the residential and some parts of city’s rural area).

In view of this, the implementation of the new zonal valuation has brought a downward trend in taxes collected over the same period compared to previous years (though catching up at an inch) as this so-called “reform” measure has obviously backfired.

Of course who would oppose the need to raise government revenues?  Nevertheless, based on the foregoing example, more meaningful and practical reform must be carried out. This may be the only way to increase governmental revenue and tax collections.  This is necessary if we are to deal with the budget deficit which is at the mental state of our economic crisis.

As a natural consequence, government revenues have reached 17 percent of GDP about a decade ago.  By 2003 its ratio decreased to 12 percent though a slight progress with total revenue collections ascended to P626.6 billion, surpassing the 2002’s collection by 10.5 percent.

Well, because of poor revenues, government can’t afford to invest further on capital goods thus, disturbing the uninterrupted delivery of basic services including infrastructures which are vital for promoting private sector investment and job creation.  Comparatively, our country for the last decade has posted capital expenditures at an amount equivalent to only 16 percent of the total government spending whereas the whole of Asia has an average of 25 percent.  This gap would certainly scare off foreign investors.  Moreover, the swelling deficit is a sign of disarray among government economic managers.

Another economic commotion on budget shortfall will likely push interest rates skyrocketing.  The usual alternative when public coffers are running low the government has to borrow funds from the public by selling treasury bills (T-bill). And taking into account that the interest rates must be agreeably high.

Additionally, the report notes that bank lending rates are based on T-bill rates.  Hence, the deficit ends up unjustly on the investors who borrow from the banks. The continued acceleration of interest rates deadens the private sector investment. 

Likewise, the fiscal gap encourages inflation. How? When revenues are lacking, when such shortfall keeps on blowing up, the government is strongly tempted to use its “extra powers”—that is the ability to pay for the shortfall by creating new money.

The obvious is we really need a new leader to marshal our mishandled economy.

 

 

Ilocos Times copyright 2008

Back to top

Opinions / Columns

 

Replaying ‘Minamata’?

 

Marshalling our mishandled economy

 

Why this yawn?

 

Joy rooted in the cross

 

Bringing the forests back to life

 

Sinong masisisi?

 

The devil’s means

 

It’s ‘change or perish’